Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 1
West Brom

Yates (28'), Holgate (68' og.)
Adams (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diangana (81')
Fellows (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Derby
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby County	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
40.27% ( 0.19)	26.93% ( -0.09)	32.8% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

0.35)

54.49% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15% (

0.29)

75.85% (

-0.29)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

0.27)

26.55% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25% (

0.35)

61.75% (

-0.35)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94% (

0.11)

31.06% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

0.13)

67.37% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Derby County 40.27%

West Bromwich Albion 32.8%

Draw 26.92%

Derby County	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.27%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 32.8%

How you voted: Derby vs West Brom

Derby County

45.8%

Draw

19.4%

West Bromwich Albion

34.7%

Head to Head

Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm

Second Round

Derby

1-0

West Brom

Sibley (15')

Fellows (59')

> Preview

Dec 27, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 24

Derby

1-0

West Brom

Kazim-Richards (58')
Davies (18'), Thompson (20'), Stearman (51'), Cashin (90+5')

Clarke (36')

> Preview

Sep 14, 2021 8pm

Gameweek 7

West Brom

0-0

Derby

Livermore (45+1')

Buchanan (33')

> Match Report

Jul 8, 2020 5pm

Gameweek 42

Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm

Gameweek 5

Derby

1-1

West Brom

Waghorn (6' pen.)
Lawrence (90')

Zohore (84' pen.)
Ferguson (37')

Form Guide

West Brom 2-0 Bristol City

Watford 2-1 West Brom

West Brom 2-0 Coventry

West Brom 2-2 Sheff Utd

Preston 1-1 West Brom

Sunderland 0-0 West Brom

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table