EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 0West Brom
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Derby
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bolton Wanderers | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Derby County | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Exeter City | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Last Game: West Brom 5-2 Hull City
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Rotherham United | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | West Bromwich Albion | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wigan Athletic | 4 | 1 | 6 |
We said: Derby County 1-2 West Bromwich Albion
Both managers will make changes from their respective league matches at the weekend, but there will still be plenty of quality on display from both sides. Derby are certainly capable of matching West Brom, but we believe that the away side will just have enough to secure a narrow win on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 31.81% | 26.49% ( -0) | 41.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
