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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
West Brom logo

Derby
1 - 0
West Brom

Kazim-Richards (58')
Davies (18'), Thompson (20'), Stearman (51'), Cashin (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clarke (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Derby County 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

Derby have proven to be a tough nut to crack on home turf so far and will fancy their chances of securing a positive result, albeit against more illustrious opponents, and while we expect them to put in a good shift, we are also backing West Brom to get the job done come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
21.49%26.36%52.16%
Both teams to score 44.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23%58.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71%79.29%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17%42.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.85%79.15%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67%56.33%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 21.49%
    West Bromwich Albion 52.15%
    Draw 26.36%
Derby CountyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-1 @ 5.18%
2-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.09%
3-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.49%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 14.41%
0-2 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-3 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 4.48%
0-4 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 52.15%

How you voted: Derby vs West Brom

Derby County
15.3%
Draw
19.4%
West Bromwich Albion
65.3%
124
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
West Brom
0-0
Derby
Livermore (45+1')
Buchanan (33')
Jul 8, 2020 5pm
Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
1-1
West Brom
Waghorn (6' pen.)
Lawrence (90')
Zohore (84' pen.)
Ferguson (37')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Oct 24, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
1-4
Derby
Rodriguez (83')
Dawson (25')
Marriott (10'), Lawrence (15'), Wilson (51'), Malone (71')
Huddlestone (44'), Malone (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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