MX23RW : Wednesday, April 23 19:49:40| >> :60:124:124:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado

Carabobo
1 - 1
Universidad

Tortolero (21' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aranguiz (42' pen.)
Calderon (21'), Zaldivia (25'), Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (55'), Contreras (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Carabobo and Universidad de Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Carabobo
Tuesday, April 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Estudiantes 1-2 Universidad
Wednesday, April 9 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Carabobo had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Carabobo win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
CaraboboDrawUniversidad de Chile
28.89% (-0.269 -0.27) 27.24% (0.36 0.36) 43.87% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-1.188 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (-1.453 -1.45)56.93% (1.449 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.16% (-1.176 -1.18)77.84% (1.173 1.17)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)35.14% (0.977 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-1.04 -1.04)71.89% (1.036 1.04)
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.702 -0.7)25.77% (0.699 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.961 -0.96)60.72% (0.957 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Carabobo 28.89%
    Universidad de Chile 43.87%
    Draw 27.24%
CaraboboDrawUniversidad de Chile
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.272 0.27)
2-1 @ 6.72% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.95% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 28.89%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.06% (0.491 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 12.28% (0.43 0.43)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.33% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 43.87%

How you voted: Carabobo vs Universidad

Carabobo
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Universidad de Chile
50.0%
6
rhs 2.0
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