MX23RW : Wednesday, April 23 19:44:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2025 at 5.05pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium (Abha)
Al-Nassr

Damac
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Solan (18'), Stanciu (73')
Al Nemer (43'), Al Sibyani (45+3'), Bedrane (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laporte (25'), Al Hassan (70'), Al-Ghanam (90+4')
Al-Najdi (39'), Boushal (57'), Duran (65'), Al-Ghanam (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Damac and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Kholood 1-3 Damac
Friday, April 18 at 5.05pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Damac 1-2 Al-Nassr

Although Al-Nassr have faltered in two of their last three away league outings, their commanding head-to-head record and Damac's recent woes on home soil suggest the visitors should edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Damac win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
DamacDrawAl-Nassr
15.13% (-0.304 -0.3) 19.22% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 65.65% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.804 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (-0.684 -0.68)39.13% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54% (-0.719 -0.72)61.46% (0.715 0.72)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (-0.822 -0.82)38.63% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (-0.789 -0.79)75.37% (0.786 0.79)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.86% (-0.125 -0.13)11.14% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.41% (-0.264 -0.26)35.59% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Damac 15.13%
    Al-Nassr 65.65%
    Draw 19.22%
DamacDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 4.27% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-0 @ 4.09% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.13%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.22%
0-2 @ 10.36% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.254 0.25)
0-3 @ 7.58% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 7.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.16% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.83% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 65.65%

How you voted: Damac vs Al-Nassr

Damac
12.1%
Draw
3.0%
Al-Nassr
84.8%
33
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2024 2.40pm
Gameweek 12
Al-Nassr
2-0
Damac
Ronaldo (17' pen., 80')
Mane (26'), Boushal (75')

Al-Hawsawi (36'), Al-Anazi (76'), Al Nemer (90+3')
Bedrane (56')
Apr 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Damac
0-1
Al-Nassr

Antolic (40')
Laporte (90+1')
Qassem (41'), Alawjami (69')
Oct 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Al-Nassr
2-1
Damac
Talisca (52'), Ronaldo (56')
Alkhaibari (10'), Boushal (90+7')
N'Koudou (45+2')
Contra (11'), Hamed (50'), Ceesay (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad29215366303668
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal29195579344562
3Al-Nassr29186562332960
4Al-AhliAl-Ahli29184760293158
5Al Quadisiya28174741251655
6Al ShababAl Shabab29156854332151
7Al Ettifaq29117113741-440
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun28108103027338
9Al Riyadh2998123040-1035
10Al Khaleej2896133346-1333
11Damac2987143546-1131
12Al Kholood2994163555-2031
13Al Fateh2986153753-1630
14Al Fayha28611112139-1829
15Al Okhdood2977152841-1328
16Al WahdaAl Wahda2975173660-2426
17Al Orubah2882182257-3526
18Al RaedAl Raed2863193350-1721


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