MX23RW : Monday, May 26 17:21:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2025 at 5.05pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium (Abha)
Al-Nassr

Damac
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Solan (18'), Stanciu (73')
Al Nemer (43'), Al Sibyani (45+3'), Bedrane (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laporte (25'), Al Hassan (70'), Al-Ghanam (90+4')
Al-Najdi (39'), Boushal (57'), Duran (65'), Al-Ghanam (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Damac and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Kholood 1-3 Damac
Friday, April 18 at 5.05pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Damac 1-2 Al-Nassr

Although Al-Nassr have faltered in two of their last three away league outings, their commanding head-to-head record and Damac's recent woes on home soil suggest the visitors should edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Damac win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
DamacDrawAl-Nassr
15.13% (-0.304 -0.3) 19.22% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 65.65% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.804 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (-0.684 -0.68)39.13% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54% (-0.719 -0.72)61.46% (0.715 0.72)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (-0.822 -0.82)38.63% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (-0.789 -0.79)75.37% (0.786 0.79)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.86% (-0.125 -0.13)11.14% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.41% (-0.264 -0.26)35.59% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Damac 15.13%
    Al-Nassr 65.65%
    Draw 19.22%
DamacDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 4.27% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-0 @ 4.09% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.13%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.22%
0-2 @ 10.36% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.254 0.25)
0-3 @ 7.58% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 7.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.16% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.83% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 65.65%

How you voted: Damac vs Al-Nassr

Damac
12.1%
Draw
3.0%
Al-Nassr
84.8%
33
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2024 2.40pm
Gameweek 12
Al-Nassr
2-0
Damac
Ronaldo (17' pen., 80')
Mane (26'), Boushal (75')

Al-Hawsawi (36'), Al-Anazi (76'), Al Nemer (90+3')
Bedrane (56')
Apr 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Damac
0-1
Al-Nassr

Antolic (40')
Laporte (90+1')
Qassem (41'), Alawjami (69')
Oct 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Al-Nassr
2-1
Damac
Talisca (52'), Ronaldo (56')
Alkhaibari (10'), Boushal (90+7')
N'Koudou (45+2')
Contra (11'), Hamed (50'), Ceesay (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CAl Ittihad33255378354380
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal33226593415272
3Al Quadisiya33215753292468
4Al-Nassr33207676373967
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli33204968363264
6Al ShababAl Shabab331761063412257
7Al Ettifaq33138124244-247
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun33129123836245
9Al Riyadh33108153751-1438
10Al Khaleej33107163854-1637
11Al Kholood33114184063-2337
12Al Fateh33106174459-1536
13Al Fayha33812132747-2036
14Damac3398163749-1235
15Al WahdaAl Wahda3396184165-2433
16Al Okhdood3387183054-2431
17Al Orubah3393213070-4030
RAl RaedAl Raed3363244064-2421


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