MX23RW : Tuesday, May 27 22:07:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 34
May 26, 2025 at 7pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al Riyadh
0 - 1
Al-Ahli


Assiri (24'), Selemani (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toney (16' pen.)
Yaslam (45+6'), Albirakan (53'), Demiral (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Riyadh and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 3-2 Al Riyadh
Tuesday, May 20 at 5.20pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-3 Al Ettifaq
Thursday, May 22 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Riyadh 1-3 Al-Ahli

There are too many holes in the Al Riyadh backline for us to believe they can fix it all even in a meaningless game, especially against the kind of attacking talent they will be facing on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Ahli
14.82% (-0.013 -0.01) 19.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 65.93% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.6% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.03% (-0.012 -0.01)39.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)62.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.43% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)39.57% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)76.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69%11.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.00099999999999056 0)35.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Al Riyadh 14.82%
    Al-Ahli 65.92%
    Draw 19.25%
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 4.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 14.82%
1-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.25%
0-2 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 7.72% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.16%
0-4 @ 4.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 65.92%

How you voted: Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli

Al Riyadh
33.3%
Draw
6.7%
Al-Ahli
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2025 3.45pm
Gameweek 17
Al-Ahli
5-0
Al Riyadh
Toney (4', 72' pen.), Al-Johani (60'), Firmino (63'), Mahrez (88')
Majrashi (45+5'), Demiral (49')

Al-Shehri (50')
Apr 25, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 29
Al Riyadh
2-1
Al-Ahli
Toure (43' pen.), Al-Harajin (84')
Al-Nowaiqi (47'), N'Dong (89'), Assiri (90+6')
Kessie (45+10')
Demiral (40'), Ibanez (51')
Nov 5, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 12
Al-Ahli
3-0
Al Riyadh
Albirakan (2'), Veiga (26'), Mahrez (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CAl Ittihad34265379354483
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal34236595415475
3Al Quadisiya34215853312268
4Al-Nassr34207778403867
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli34214969363367
6Al ShababAl Shabab341861065412460
7Al Ettifaq34148124445-150
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun34129134039145
9Al Kholood34124184264-2240
10Al Fateh34116174761-1439
11Al Riyadh34108163752-1538
12Al Khaleej34107174057-1737
13Al Fayha34812142749-2236
14Damac3498173750-1335
15Al Okhdood3497183356-2334
16Al WahdaAl Wahda3496194267-2533
17Al Orubah34103213372-3933
RAl RaedAl Raed3463254166-2521


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