MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 09:13:21| >> :60:933:933:
AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 26, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
3 - 0
Buriram Utd

Mahrez (4'), Galeno (6'), Firmino (30')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Haiprakon (45'), Renner (78'), Jaided (88')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Al-Ahli and Buriram United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Wahda 2-3 Al-Ahli
Tuesday, April 22 at 5.20pm in Saudi Pro League

Buriram United

All competitions
Last Game: Johor Darul 0-1 Buriram Utd
Tuesday, March 11 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Buriram United had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Buriram United win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawBuriram United
46.11% (-0.448 -0.45) 24.43% (0.329 0.33) 29.47% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-1.05 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-1.414 -1.41)45.2% (1.415 1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-1.368 -1.37)67.54% (1.371 1.37)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.75 -0.75)19.72% (0.752 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-1.233 -1.23)51.73% (1.236 1.24)
Buriram United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.63300000000001 -0.63)28.64% (0.635 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.798 -0.8)64.45% (0.80099999999999 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 46.11%
    Buriram United 29.47%
    Draw 24.42%
Al-AhliDrawBuriram United
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.339 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.11%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.336 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.301 0.3)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 29.47%

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