MX23RW : Saturday, April 19 00:07:56| >> :60:36:36:
AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium

Al-Rayyan
1 - 3
Al-Ahli

Guedes (71')
Amaro (45+2')
Bareiro (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Galeno (30'), Mahrez (34'), Albirakan (90+5')
Al-Johani (71'), Veiga (86')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Al-Rayyan and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Rayyan 2-1 Al Arabi
Thursday, February 27 at 4pm in Qatar Stars League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-3 Al-Ahli
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-RayyanDrawAl-Ahli
24.62% (0.419 0.42) 21.68% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 53.7% (-0.435 -0.44)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.465 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (0.391 0.39)36.25% (-0.396 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (0.429 0.43)58.37% (-0.434 -0.43)
Al-Rayyan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (0.53800000000001 0.54)27.47% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (0.69 0.69)62.97% (-0.696 -0.7)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.37% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)13.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)40.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Al-Rayyan 24.62%
    Al-Ahli 53.7%
    Draw 21.68%
Al-RayyanDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.84% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.13% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 24.62%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 4.12% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.05% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 53.7%

How you voted: Al-Rayyan vs Al-Ahli

Al-Rayyan
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Al-Ahli
66.7%
6
rhs 2.0
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