MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 21:31:03| >> :60:353:353:
AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
2 - 0
Al-Rayyan

Mahrez (77', 83')
Alexsander (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Naji (59')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Rayyan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 2-2 Al Khaleej
Friday, March 7 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Rayyan

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Rayyan 5-1 Al Khor
Friday, March 7 at 6.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Rayyan
55.68% (0.309 0.31) 21.15% (-0.107 -0.11) 23.17% (-0.202 -0.2)
Both teams to score 62.77% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.71% (0.28099999999999 0.28)35.29% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.69% (0.314 0.31)57.31% (-0.314 -0.31)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29% (0.185 0.19)12.71% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.07% (0.38 0.38)38.92% (-0.38 -0.38)
Al-Rayyan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)28.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)63.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 55.68%
    Al-Rayyan 23.17%
    Draw 21.15%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Rayyan
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.21% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 55.68%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 23.17%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2025 6pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Al-Rayyan
1-3
Al-Ahli
Guedes (71')
Amaro (45+2')
Bareiro (90+10')
Galeno (30'), Mahrez (34'), Albirakan (90+5')
Al-Johani (71'), Veiga (86')
rhs 2.0
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