MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 08:27:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2025 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
2 - 3
Al-Ahli

Al-Dawsari (74'), Leonardo (83' pen.)
Leonardo (29'), Al-Dawsari (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toney (47', 53', 87')
Yaslam (6'), Kessie (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 5-1 Al Kholood
Tuesday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Al Quadisiya
Tuesday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 3-2 Al-Ahli

Al-Hilal will be eager to build on their emphatic win last time out, but Al-Ahli arrive in superb form and could pose a serious threat thanks to their solid defence. With Leonardo and Toney both in fine scoring touch, we expect an entertaining contest with a host of goals, however, Al-Hilal's formidable home record might just give them the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.73%) and 3-1 (6.66%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Ahli
54.72% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 20.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 66.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)31.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)11.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.06% (-0.012 -0.01)36.93% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 54.72%
    Al-Ahli 24.56%
    Draw 20.72%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.04%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.56%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Ahli

Al-Hilal
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Al-Ahli
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 6
Al-Ahli
1-2
Al-Hilal
Veiga (12')
Ibanez (37'), Hamidou (75'), Majrashi (90')
Mitrovic (56', 78')
Al-Dawsari (75'), Mitrovic (90+4')
May 6, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Al-Ahli
1-2
Al-Hilal
Albirakan (30')
Kessie (70'), Demiral (70'), Yaslam (83')
Mitrovic (52'), Malcom (89')
Tambakti (50')
Oct 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al-Ahli
Milinkovic-Savic (1'), Mitrovic (37'), Ibanez (84' og.)
Saint-Maximin (58')
Ibanez (32'), Hindi (45+4'), Al-Asmari (88'), Kessie (90+1')
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Al-Hilal
0-1
Al-Ahli

Al Dawsari (89'), Babhir (90'), Gomis (93')
Asiri (42')
Al Fatil (37'), Souza (55'), Muwashar (68'), Al Owais (93')
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Al Somah (6'), Djaniny (39')
Al Khabrani (2'), Aleksic (45'), Al Somah (61'), Souza (90')
Gomis (15', 48', 65'), Al-Hafith (81')
Albulayhi (34'), Al Dosari (36'), Otayf (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad29215366303668
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal29195579344562
3Al-Nassr29186562332960
4Al-AhliAl-Ahli29184760293158
5Al Quadisiya29175742261656
6Al ShababAl Shabab29156854332151
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun29118103430441
8Al Ettifaq29117113741-440
9Al Riyadh2998123040-1035
10Al Khaleej2997133447-1334
11Damac2987143546-1131
12Al Kholood2994163555-2031
13Al Fateh2986153753-1630
14Al Fayha29612112341-1830
15Al Okhdood2977152841-1328
16Al Orubah2983182459-3527
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2975173660-2426
18Al RaedAl Raed2963203654-1821


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