Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Apr 29, 2025 at 11pm UK
Itaipava Arena Pernambuco
Retro1 - 1Fortaleza
Franco (33')
Salomao Miguel (22'), Rodrigues Ribeiro (83')
Salomao Miguel (22'), Rodrigues Ribeiro (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Retro and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sport 0-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 27 at 12am in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 27 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
5
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Retro had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Retro win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Retro | Draw | Fortaleza |
27.06% ( 0.02) | 26.92% ( 0.02) | 46.03% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
