Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 26, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Waldomiro Borges
Jequie1 - 2Retro
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Jequie and Retro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Retro win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Jequie had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Retro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.82%) and 1-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Jequie win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Retro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jequie | Draw | Retro |
31.05% ( -2.23) | 29.34% ( -0.11) | 39.6% ( 2.34) |
| Both teams to score 43.29% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
