Serie B | 1st Leg
May 21, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Catanzaro0 - 2Spezia
Quagliata (26'), Brighenti (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Spezia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Catanzaro 1-0 Cesena
Saturday, May 17 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 17 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
52
Last Game: Spezia 3-1 Cosenza
Tuesday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
59
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Catanzaro | Draw | Spezia |
30.49% ( 0.02) | 26.96% ( -0) | 42.54% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
