Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.