Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 0-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.