Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.