Chelsea

3 - 1

Liverpool

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.