Taca de Portugal | Final
May 25, 2025 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio Nacional
Benfica1 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Benfica
Saturday, May 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
84
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
88
We say: Benfica 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
After witnessing at least three goals in each of the six meetings prior, recent chapters of the Lisbon Derby have taken a more subdued turn, with none of the last three featuring more than two goals. That said, this latest showdown has all the makings of a tight, tactical battle – one that could very well drift into penalties considering the high stakes riding on it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%).
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
48.47% ( -1.96) | 24.36% ( 0.15) | 27.17% ( 1.82) |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( 1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
