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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Benfica

Estoril
1 - 2
Benfica

Zanocelo (78')
Orellana (63'), Zanocelo (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aursnes (7'), Otamendi (35')
Pavlidis (28'), Luis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Estoril
Tuesday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 6-0 AVS
Sunday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-4 Benfica

Benfica arrive brimming with confidence, with intent on a commanding performance, and considering their explosive attacking rhythm in recent weeks, such an outcome appears well within reach. However, Estoril might still sneak one past the visitors given they have scored in six of their last seven outings on home soil, even if they drew a blank in the most recent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.92%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
6.75% (-0.3891 -0.39) 12.53% (-0.901 -0.9) 80.73% (1.295 1.29)
Both teams to score 47.92% (1.671 1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.45% (3.16 3.16)31.55% (-3.156 -3.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.96% (3.629 3.63)53.04% (-3.625 -3.63)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.97% (1.3 1.3)49.03% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.02% (0.911 0.91)83.98% (-0.907 -0.91)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.02% (0.907 0.91)5.98% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.16% (2.481 2.48)22.84% (-2.476 -2.48)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 6.75%
    Benfica 80.72%
    Draw 12.53%
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 2.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-0 @ 2.09% (-0.289 -0.29)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 6.75%
1-1 @ 5.89% (-0.479 -0.48)
2-2 @ 2.96% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.93% (-0.532 -0.53)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 12.53%
0-2 @ 11.63% (-0.77 -0.77)
0-3 @ 10.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-1 @ 8.26% (-1.011 -1.01)
1-3 @ 7.78% (0.186 0.19)
0-4 @ 7.69% (0.288 0.29)
1-4 @ 5.48% (0.399 0.4)
0-5 @ 4.33% (0.371 0.37)
1-5 @ 3.09% (0.367 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.166 0.17)
0-6 @ 2.03% (0.267 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.95% (0.209 0.21)
1-6 @ 1.45% (0.236 0.24)
2-5 @ 1.1% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 80.72%

How you voted: Estoril vs Benfica

Estoril Praia
0.0%
Draw
9.5%
Benfica
90.5%
21
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 15
Benfica
3-0
Estoril
Pavlidis (28'), Amdouni (73', 90+4')
Kokcu (67')

Boma (34')
Mar 10, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Benfica
3-1
Estoril
Kokcu (15'), Leonardo (45+2'), Gouveia (49')
Gomes (22')
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
1-1
Estoril
(Aggregate 1-1 | Estoril win 5-4 on penalties)
Otamendi (58')
Schmidt (45'), Mario (62'), Morato (77'), Gouveia (89'), Fernandes (90+1')
Guitane (16')
Kokcu (45+2'), Pina (45+2'), Mangala (67')
Oct 7, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Estoril
0-1
Benfica

Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')
Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')
Apr 23, 2023 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
RSC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
RBoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524


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