Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.92%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
6.75% (![]() | 12.53% (![]() | 80.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.45% (![]() | 31.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.96% (![]() | 53.04% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.97% (![]() | 49.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.02% (![]() | 83.98% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.02% (![]() | 5.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.16% (![]() | 22.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 2.1% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 6.75% | 1-1 @ 5.89% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.75% Total : 12.53% | 0-2 @ 11.63% (![]() 0-3 @ 10.92% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.29% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 7.69% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.94% Total : 80.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |