Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.