La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
0 - 2
Real Madrid

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mbappe (75'), Bellingham (87')
Bellingham (66')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Las Palmas
Tuesday, May 13 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Mallorca
Wednesday, May 14 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Real Madrid
35.22% ( -1.47)	25.3% ( -0.43)	39.48% ( 1.9)

Both teams to score 56.52% (

1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

1.79)

47.18% (

-1.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

1.64)

69.42% (

-1.64)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-0.01)

25.97% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01% (

-0.01)

60.99% (

0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

1.82)

23.65% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.25% (

2.56)

57.74% (

-2.56)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 35.22%

Real Madrid 39.48%

Draw 25.29%

Sevilla	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.64) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 35.22%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.48%