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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Junior (80'), Valverde (90+3')
Asencio del Rosario (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nunez (63'), Prados (86')

The Match

Match Report

Federico Valverde scores a last-gasp winner as Real Madrid record a vital 1-0 victory over Athletic Bilbao in Sunday night's La Liga contest at Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
54.66% (0.048000000000002 0.05)22.18% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)23.16% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)40.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.45% (0.034999999999997 0.03)62.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (0.030000000000001 0.03)14.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.18% (0.054000000000002 0.05)42.82% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)30.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.07% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 54.66%
    Athletic Bilbao 23.16%
    Draw 22.17%
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 54.66%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid
49.6%
Draw
37.4%
Athletic Bilbao
13.0%
123
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Real Madrid
Berenguer (53'), Guruzeta (80')
Agirrezabala (67'), Vazquez (72'), Bellingham (90+1'), Guruzeta (90+3')
Mar 31, 2024 8pm
Aug 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Real Madrid

Muniain (4'), Vivian (67'), Williams (87')
Rodrygo (28'), Bellingham (36')
Alaba (76')
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Real Madrid
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (72' pen.)
Ceballos (55'), Carvajal (85')
Sancet (49')
Sancet (57'), Berchiche (71')
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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