Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.25%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it is 0-1 (6.5%).
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
53.12% (![]() | 23.74% (![]() | 23.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.82% (![]() | 47.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.58% (![]() | 69.41% (![]() |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% (![]() | 17.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% (![]() | 48.36% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.31% (![]() | 34.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.59% (![]() | 71.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.63% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.12% | 1-1 @ 11.25% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.5% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |