MX23RW : Thursday, June 5 01:23:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Athletic Bilbao logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Alvarez (66')
Sorloth (57'), Barrios (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruiz de Galarreta (32'), Gorosabel (62'), Alvarez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-4 Atletico
Tuesday, February 25 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao

This is such a difficult match to call, with Athletic on a long unbeaten run, but Atletico away is one of the toughest matches in the division, and we can see Simeone's side edging a close game to put an incredibly important three points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it is 0-1 (8.49%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
49.23% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 26.44% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 24.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.99% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)56.72% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (0.016000000000002 0.02)77.67% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (0.026000000000003 0.03)56.96% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)38.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.39% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.61%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 49.22%
    Athletic Bilbao 24.33%
    Draw 26.44%
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 13.16%
2-0 @ 9.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.22%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 8.99% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 24.33%

How you voted: Atletico vs Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid
75.4%
Draw
21.3%
Athletic Bilbao
3.3%
122
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 4
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Atletico

Williams (15'), Alvarez (34'), Sancet (35')
Correa (90+2')
Koke (85')
Apr 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
De Paul (15'), Correa (52'), Simon (80' og.)
De Paul (5'), Hermoso (90+3'), Griezmann (90+4')
Williams (45')
Sancet (59'), Paredes (71')
Feb 29, 2024 8.30pm
Feb 7, 2024 8.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Atletico
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Mandava (23'), Simeone (24'), Simeone (65'), De Paul (83')
Berenguer (25' pen.)
Prados (37'), Vivian (45+2'), Gomez (71'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+7')
Dec 16, 2023 3.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!