Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it is 0-1 (8.49%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
49.23% (![]() | 26.44% (![]() | 24.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.28% (![]() | 56.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.33% (![]() | 77.67% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.89% (![]() | 23.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.04% (![]() | 56.96% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.12% (![]() | 38.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.39% (![]() | 75.61% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 13.16% 2-0 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.5% Total : 24.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 76 |
2 | Real Madrid | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 72 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 66 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 60 |
5 | Villarreal | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 54 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
9 | Mallorca | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 44 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 42 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Espanyol | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 39 |
14 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 37 |
16 | GironaGirona | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 35 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 34 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 32 |
19 | Leganes | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 30 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 81 | -57 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |