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Barcelona logo
Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Feb 25, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Atletico Madrid logo

Barcelona
4 - 4
Atletico

Pedri (19'), Cubarsi (21'), Martinez (41'), Lewandowski (74')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Alvarez (1'), Griezmann (6'), Llorente (84'), Sorloth (90+3')
Galan (16'), Simeone (70'), Gimenez (82'), Barrios (88'), Sorloth (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Barcelona and Atletico Madrid play out an eight-goal thriller in the first leg of their Copa del Rey semi-final at the Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys on Tuesday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Tuesday's Copa del Rey semi-final first leg against Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 22 at 8pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 0-3 Atletico
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
51.36% (-0.055 -0.05) 23.41% (0.292 0.29) 25.22% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-1.25 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (-1.543 -1.54)43.73% (1.536 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (-1.529 -1.53)66.12% (1.521 1.52)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (-0.59 -0.59)17.08% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74% (-1.05 -1.05)47.26% (1.042 1.04)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-1.015 -1.02)31.03% (1.009 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (-1.204 -1.2)67.34% (1.197 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 51.36%
    Atletico Madrid 25.22%
    Draw 23.41%
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.442 0.44)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.235 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 51.36%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.348 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.244 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 25.22%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Atletico

Barcelona
66.1%
Draw
20.7%
Atletico Madrid
13.2%
242
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 18
Barcelona
1-2
Atletico
Pedri (30')
De Paul (60'), Sorloth (90+6')
Witsel (54'), Le Normand (77'), Gimenez (90+7')
> Match Report
Mar 17, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Atletico
0-3
Barcelona

De Paul (46'), Savic (61'), Barrios (89')
Molina (90+2')
Felix (38'), Lewandowski (47'), Lopez (65')
Kounde (33'), Xavi (41')
Xavi (42')
> Match Report
Dec 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Barcelona
1-0
Atletico
Felix (28')
Felix (50'), Torres (78'), Araujo (79'), Xavi (82'), Cancelo (87'), de Jong (90+3')

Gimenez (31'), Witsel (34'), Koke (38'), Azpilicueta (47')
> Match Report
Apr 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Barcelona
1-0
Atletico
Torres (44')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
0-1
Barcelona
Dembele (22')
> Match Report
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