We said: Hull City 1-2 Derby County
Derby got back to winning ways at West Brom, and we think that they will secure a big three points in the relegation battle this weekend.
Hull have struggled at home throughout the campaign, and they could be involved in a nervy final day at Fratton Park if this result happens.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.