Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

KCOM Stadium

Hull City
0 - 1
Derby

Jones (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Phillips (84')
Langas (25'), Armegang (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Preston
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 1-3 Derby
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Hull City	Draw	Derby County
48.77% ( 0.05)	25.43% ( 0.01)	25.81% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.2% (

-0.09)

51.8% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.43% (

-0.07)

73.56% (

0.08)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-0.01)

21.26% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.83% (

-0.03)

54.17% (

0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.12% (

-0.09)

34.88% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38% (

-0.1)

71.62% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Hull City 48.76%

Derby County 25.81%

Draw 25.42%

Hull City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.76%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 25.81%