MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:16:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Hull logo
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Derby logo

Hull City
0 - 1
Derby


Jones (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Phillips (84')
Langas (25'), Armegang (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Preston
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-3 Derby
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 1-2 Derby County

Derby got back to winning ways at West Brom, and we think that they will secure a big three points in the relegation battle this weekend. Hull have struggled at home throughout the campaign, and they could be involved in a nervy final day at Fratton Park if this result happens. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawDerby County
48.77% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)51.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)73.56% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)21.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)54.17% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)34.88% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)71.62% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 48.76%
    Derby County 25.81%
    Draw 25.42%
Hull CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.76%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 25.81%

How you voted: Hull City vs Derby

Hull City
41.7%
Draw
18.8%
Derby County
39.6%
48
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Derby
1-1
Hull City
Brown (66')
Forsyth (90+4')
Simons (57')
Simons (72'), Hughes (77'), Burstow (90+1'), Pedro (90+6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Derby
3-1
Hull City
Forsyth (19'), Lawrence (38'), Ebosele (47')
Bielik (53'), Bird (90+4')
Forsyth (65' og.)
Docherty (17'), Greaves (21'), Honeyman (89')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Hull City
0-1
Derby

Jones (71')
Baldock (57')
Morrison (79'), Roos (90+1'), Stretton (90+2')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hull City
2-0
Derby
Bowen (74', 80')
Irvine (11'), Bowler (44'), de Wijs (45'), Elder (63')

Holmes (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!