Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
1 - 0
Derby

Eom (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Forsyth (67'), Harness (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Preston
Wednesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw has a probability of 25.6% and a win for Derby County has a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Derby County win it is 0-1 (7.96%).

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Derby County
49.13% ( 0.49)	25.65% ( -0.18)	25.22% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.91% (

0.45)

53.09% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.33% (

0.39)

74.67% (

-0.39)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37% (

0.4)

21.63% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25% (

0.62)

54.75% (

-0.62)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.92% (

-0.03)

36.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.14% (

-0.03)

72.86% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 49.12%

Derby County 25.22%

Draw 25.65%

Swansea City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 49.12%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 25.22%