MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:19:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Coventry City

Derby
2 - 0
Coventry

Clarke (23'), Harness (48')
Armegang (28'), Harness (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bidwell (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-2 Coventry City

A rejuvenated Derby side riding on cloud nine after Saturday's win should find some joy against a leaky Coventry backline, as Lampard's men have now failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last seven games. However, one positive result does not mean that the Rams' attacking woes have been solved overnight, and a far more ruthless Coventry outfit should overpower their hosts in the final third as Lampard makes a winning return to Pride Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCoventry City
28.82% (0.153 0.15) 27.35% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 43.82% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 47.77% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.62% (0.207 0.21)57.37% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (0.165 0.16)78.19% (-0.17 -0.17)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (0.23100000000001 0.23)35.44% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.239 0.24)72.2% (-0.24499999999999 -0.24)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.031000000000006 0.03)26% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98% (0.046999999999997 0.05)61.02% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 28.82%
    Coventry City 43.82%
    Draw 27.35%
Derby CountyDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.68% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.96% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.31% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.82%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 12.41% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.82%

How you voted: Derby vs Coventry

Derby County
23.1%
Draw
14.1%
Coventry City
62.8%
78
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Coventry
1-2
Derby
Sakamoto (77')
Eccles (78')
Yates (11'), Thomas (73' og.)
Cashin (34'), Adams (59')
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
1-1
Coventry
Lawrence (66' pen.)
Byrne (57')
Godden (28')
Bidwell (22'), Dabo (54'), Hamer (66')
Jan 8, 2022 12.30pm
Third Round
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Hyam (42')
Shipley (53')

Jagielka (31'), Ebosele (57')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Coventry
1-1
Derby
Godden (20' pen.)
Maatsen (44')
Shinnie (78')
Davies (71'), Morrison (88')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Biamou (11')
Hamer (30'), McCallum (89')

Clarke (9'), Buchanan (37'), Knight (49'), Kazim-Richards (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!