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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Oxford United

Derby
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Harness (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Derby
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Oxford United

Considering the uncertainty surrounding the club, Derby may be nervous coming into the clash and Oxford may take advantage. While the visitors have been poor away from home, they have started to lose less on the road and their face hosts have struggled to score goals at Pride Park Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
48.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 27.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (0.032000000000004 0.03)59.06% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (0.023000000000003 0.02)79.52% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)59.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14% (0.035000000000004 0.04)39.86% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)76.53% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 48.11%
    Oxford United 24.69%
    Draw 27.18%
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 13.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 9.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.69%

How you voted: Derby vs Oxford Utd

Derby County
37.3%
Draw
13.4%
Oxford United
49.3%
67
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Oxford Utd
1-1
Derby
Scarlett (12')
Goodrham (19')
Mendez-Laing (55')
Osborn (38'), Elder (45+1'), Taylor (50'), Cashin (76')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
2-3
Derby
Brannagan (2' pen., 13')
Beadle (67')
Forsyth (45+3'), Thompson (81'), Cashin (86')
Wildsmith (2'), Bird (24'), Barkhuizen (59'), John-Jules (71')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
1-2
Oxford Utd
Waghorn (87')
Collins (27'), Bird (37'), Hourihane (42'), Wilson (68'), Cashin (82')
Harris (32', 72')
Long (52'), Beadle (90+1')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
2-3
Derby
Long (14'), Joseph (90')
Sibley (23', 40'), Long (61' og.)
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Derby
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hourihane (80')
Hourihane (47'), Collins (55'), Mendez-Laing (82'), Davies (90+7')

Seddon (28'), Browne (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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