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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
AZ Alkmaar

FC Twente
2 - 3
AZ

van Wolfswinkel (13'), Vlap (23')
van Hoorenbeeck (73')
FT(HT: 2-2)
van Bommel (3'), Mijnans (45+1'), Kasius (71')
Koopmeiners (84'), Daal (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 3-0 Groningen
Sunday, May 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 1-1 AZ Alkmaar

Both in excellent recent form, we are expecting a closely-fought affair between European hopefuls Twente and AZ Alkmaar on Wednesday night. Without the talents of leading goalscorer Parrott, the visitors could struggle at the top end of the pitch, although they should be good enough for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
42.35% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03) 23.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 33.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 62.16% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)39.72% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)62.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)19.09% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)50.7% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 42.35%
    AZ Alkmaar 33.99%
    Draw 23.66%
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 33.99%

How you voted: FC Twente vs AZ

FC Twente
63.9%
Draw
22.2%
AZ Alkmaar
13.9%
36
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 17
AZ
1-0
FC Twente
Parrott (48')
Penetra (45+1'), Goes (53'), Clasie (90+5')

Lagerbielke (30'), van Wolfswinkel (36'), Rots (65'), Kuipers (90+5')
May 5, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 32
AZ
2-1
FC Twente
Van Bommel (46'), Pavlidis (66')
van Bommel (8'), Sadiq (50'), Belic (59')
Steijn (5')
Propper (30')
Jan 13, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (42', 70')
Eiting (66'), Taha (86'), Propper (90+2')
Odgaard (4')
Martins Indi (65'), Bazoer (86')
Mar 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 26
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (8', 11')
Karlsson (66')
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
AZ
1-1
FC Twente
Odgaard (54')
Ugalde (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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