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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 24, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
NAC Breda

AZ
1 - 1
NAC Breda

Meerdink (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sauer (75')
Kemper (68'), Bielica (90+6'), Janosek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, April 12 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 NAC Breda

AZ may have failed to score in their last two top-flight outings, but facing a NAC side that has leaked 15 goals in their previous six away matches should help reignite their attacking spark, and with the Cheese Farmers's dominant history in this fixture, a home win looks to be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawNAC Breda
74.32% (-0.604 -0.6) 15.68% (0.36 0.36) 10.01% (0.245 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.16% (-0.422 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (-1.022 -1.02)35.45% (1.022 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.51% (-1.14 -1.14)57.49% (1.14 1.14)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.88% (-0.371 -0.37)8.12% (0.3709 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.5% (-0.938 -0.94)28.5% (0.937 0.94)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.67% (-0.233 -0.23)44.32% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.61% (-0.191 -0.19)80.39% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 74.31%
    NAC Breda 10.01%
    Draw 15.68%
AZ AlkmaarDrawNAC Breda
2-0 @ 11.34% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 9.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.298 0.3)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 4.85% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.99% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.44% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.07 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.25% (-0.076 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 74.31%
1-1 @ 7.35% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 15.68%
1-2 @ 2.99% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.93% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 10.01%

How you voted: AZ vs NAC Breda

AZ Alkmaar
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
NAC Breda
7.7%
39
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 16
NAC Breda
1-2
AZ
Mar Omarsson (12')
Greiml (30'), Balard (62'), Kemper (90+4'), Van den Bergh (90+4')
Greiml (85')
Parrott (76'), De Wit (90+2')
Koopmeiners (71'), Martens (88'), de Wit (90+5'), van Bommel (90+7')
Feb 12, 2020 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
AZ
1-3
NAC Breda
Idrissi (65')
Idrissi (56')
El Allouchi (35'), Schouten (60'), Noblejas (86')
Verschueren (89')
Feb 8, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 21
NAC Breda
0-3
AZ

Mets (22'), van Anholt (47')
Til (33', 54'), Gudmundsson (90')
Til (25')
Aug 12, 2018 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
AZ
5-0
NAC Breda
Svensson (26'), Hatzidiakos (30'), Boadu (42'), Koopmeiners (79'), Johnsen (85')

El Allouchi (58'), Sporkslede (66')
Feb 17, 2018 6.45pm
NAC Breda
1-3
AZ
Umar (85')
Korte (51'), Meijers (56')
Jahanbakhsh (32'), Til (47'), Seuntjens (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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