MX23RW : Friday, April 25 21:54:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 24, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
NAC Breda

AZ
1 - 1
NAC Breda

Meerdink (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sauer (75')
Kemper (68'), Bielica (90+6'), Janosek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, April 12 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 NAC Breda

AZ may have failed to score in their last two top-flight outings, but facing a NAC side that has leaked 15 goals in their previous six away matches should help reignite their attacking spark, and with the Cheese Farmers's dominant history in this fixture, a home win looks to be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 10.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawNAC Breda
74.32% (-0.604 -0.6) 15.68% (0.36 0.36) 10.01% (0.245 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.16% (-0.422 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (-1.022 -1.02)35.45% (1.022 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.51% (-1.14 -1.14)57.49% (1.14 1.14)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.88% (-0.371 -0.37)8.12% (0.3709 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.5% (-0.938 -0.94)28.5% (0.937 0.94)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.67% (-0.233 -0.23)44.32% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.61% (-0.191 -0.19)80.39% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 74.31%
    NAC Breda 10.01%
    Draw 15.68%
AZ AlkmaarDrawNAC Breda
2-0 @ 11.34% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 9.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.298 0.3)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 4.85% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.99% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.44% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.07 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.25% (-0.076 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 74.31%
1-1 @ 7.35% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 15.68%
1-2 @ 2.99% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.93% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 10.01%

How you voted: AZ vs NAC Breda

AZ Alkmaar
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
NAC Breda
7.7%
39
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 16
NAC Breda
1-2
AZ
Mar Omarsson (12')
Greiml (30'), Balard (62'), Kemper (90+4'), Van den Bergh (90+4')
Greiml (85')
Parrott (76'), De Wit (90+2')
Koopmeiners (71'), Martens (88'), de Wit (90+5'), van Bommel (90+7')
Feb 12, 2020 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
AZ
1-3
NAC Breda
Idrissi (65')
Idrissi (56')
El Allouchi (35'), Schouten (60'), Noblejas (86')
Verschueren (89')
Feb 8, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 21
NAC Breda
0-3
AZ

Mets (22'), van Anholt (47')
Til (33', 54'), Gudmundsson (90')
Til (25')
Aug 12, 2018 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
AZ
5-0
NAC Breda
Svensson (26'), Hatzidiakos (30'), Boadu (42'), Koopmeiners (79'), Johnsen (85')

El Allouchi (58'), Sporkslede (66')
Feb 17, 2018 6.45pm
NAC Breda
1-3
AZ
Umar (85')
Korte (51'), Meijers (56')
Jahanbakhsh (32'), Til (47'), Seuntjens (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Groningen3098133245-1335
10Heracles30811113752-1535
11Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
12NECNijmegen2996144243-133
13Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!