Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
May 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Bahia

Gremio
1 - 0
Bahia

Braithwaite (61' pen.)
Cristaldo (26'), Amuzu (28'), Aravena (90+10'), Pavon (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duarte (35'), Ramos Mingo (39'), Macedo Moraes (59'), Ribeiro (59'), Alexandre (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-0 CSA
Wednesday, May 21 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 4-0 Paysandu
Wednesday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 20.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
GremioDrawBahia
55.7% (-2.406 -2.41)23.57% (1.045 1.05)20.72% (1.358 1.36)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-1.138 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.84% (-2.591 -2.59)49.16% (2.588 2.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-2.384 -2.38)71.23% (2.382 2.38)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (-1.76 -1.76)17.48% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (-3.161 -3.16)47.98% (3.157 3.16)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)38.12% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11% (-0.055 -0.05)74.88% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 55.7%
    Bahia 20.72%
    Draw 23.57%
GremioDrawBahia
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.55 0.55)
2-0 @ 10.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.419 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.352 -0.35)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.344 -0.34)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.52 0.52)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.679 0.68)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.646 0.65)
1-2 @ 5.41% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.307 0.31)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 20.72%

How you voted: Gremio vs Bahia

Gremio
42.3%
Draw
23.1%
Bahia
34.6%
26
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Gremio
0-2
Bahia

Soteldo (67'), Soteldo (68'), Costa (72'), Nathan (90+2')
Thaciano (45', 76')
Xavier (65')
Apr 28, 2024 1am
Gameweek 4
Bahia
1-0
Gremio
Stum (17')
Ceni (46'), Xavier (47'), Ribeiro (56')

Kannemann (45'), Portaluppi (65'), Moreira (67'), Nunes (78'), Ely (90+6')
Costa (90+2'), Ribeiro (90+8')
Nov 4, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 32
Gremio
1-0
Bahia
Suarez (70')
Kannemann (22'), Nata (90')

Duarte (31'), Thaciano (45+3'), Cicinho (64'), Oliveira Souza (81')
Jul 13, 2023 12am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Gremio
1-1
Bahia
(Aggregate 2-2 | Gremio win 4-3 on penalties)
Villasanti (72')
Carballo (38')
Stum (45+5')
Acevedo (36'), Stum (38'), Carlos (66'), Martins (90+1'), Kanu (90+2')
> Preview
Jul 5, 2023 1am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Bahia
1-1
Gremio
Stum (47')
Chavez (63'), Kanu (90'), Kanu (90+8'), Mugni (90+2')
Cuiabano (90+5')
Villasanti (31')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo117312442024
2Cruzeiro11722178923
3BragantinoBragantino11722148623
4PalmeirasPalmeiras11713128422
5Fluminense116231512320
6Botafogo11533147718
7Bahia115331111018
8Mirassol114521712517
9Atletico Mineiro114521110117
10CearaCeara114341311215
11Corinthians114341214-215
12Gremio114341114-315
13Sao Paulo11263911-212
14InternacionalInternacional112541216-411
15Vasco da GamaVasco113171115-410
16Vitoria112451014-410
17FortalezaFortaleza112451015-510
18SantosSantos11227812-48
19JuventudeJuventude11227824-168
20Sport RecifeSport11038518-133
> Brasileiro Full Table


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