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Gremio
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Arena do Gremio
Bahia
Gremio
1 - 1
Bahia
Villasanti (72')
Carballo (38')
FT
(aet)
Stum (45+5')
Acevedo (36'), Stum (38'), Carlos (66'), Martins (90+1'), Kanu (90+2')
Gremio win 4-3 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Gremio and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, July 9 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, July 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We say: Gremio 2-1 Bahia

Gremio are likely to be hurting a little after they fell 10 points behind Botafogo after losing at home to them in the league at the weekend. Cuiabano's injury-time equaliser has clearly put the hosts in a strong position heading into this second leg, and we expect them to get the job done to reach the last four of Brazil's primary domestic cup, even if Bahia are likely to provide them with a stern test along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.14%).

Result
GremioDrawBahia
53.75% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03) 24.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.62% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)52.37% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)74.06% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)19.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)51.26% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.04% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.0040000000000013 0)75.76% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 53.75%
    Bahia 21.62%
    Draw 24.62%
GremioDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.42%
2-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.14% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 21.62%

How you voted: Gremio vs Bahia

Gremio
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
Bahia
3.4%
29

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 1am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Bahia
1-1
Gremio
Stum (47')
Chavez (63'), Kanu (90'), Kanu (90+8'), Mugni (90+2')
Cuiabano (90+5')
Villasanti (31')
Jul 1, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bahia
1-2
Gremio
Kayky (20')
Acevedo (37'), Thaciano (69'), Cicinho (90+1')
Cristaldo (9'), Martins (90+5')
Pedro (32'), Portaluppi (44+44'), Kannemann (67')
Nov 26, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
3-1
Gremio
Bahia (13'), Nascimento (18'), Danielzinho (85')
Rodrigoinho (32'), Paraiba (45+1'), Mugni (70')
Thiago (62')
Vanderson (36'), Cortez (47'), Kannemann (73')
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 17
Gremio
2-0
Bahia
Borja (50'), Souza (90+5')
Silva (87')

Gilberto (67')
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 28
Gremio
2-1
Bahia
Vanderson (16'), Souza (54')
Henrique (51'), Vanderlei (86')
Martins (47')
Andrade (44'), Ramon (51'), Rossi (68'), Gilberto (90')
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