Although America Mineiro have upped their game of late, we expect Gremio to extend their unbeaten home record with a narrow victory on Thursday, as America have taken a solitary point from four away league outings this year, conceding at least two goals on each occasion.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for America Mineiro has a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.44%), while for an America Mineiro win it is 0-1 (5.6%).
Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.
11.25) 
-5.56) 
