MX23RW : Thursday, June 8 01:01:29| >> :60:776:776:
America Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Independencia
America Mineiro
2 - 0
Millonarios
Aloisio (40'), Breno (70')
Henrique Alves Silva (6'), Paulista (17'), Egea (54'), Marlon (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernando Moreno Paz (9')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between America Mineiro and Millonarios, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millonarios 3-1 Penarol
Wednesday, May 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: America Mineiro 1-1 Millonarios

America Mineiro appear to have found better form across their recent outings, but unfortunately it has arrived too late for them to remain in the Copa Sudamericana. With the hosts likely to rest several key players ahead of an important league game at the weekend, we can envisage a share of the spoils in this match, which may not be enough to keep Millonarios on top of Group F. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawMillonarios
54.81% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.51% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)53.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74% (0.0039999999999978 0)75.26% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)19.56% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)51.48% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59% (-0.012 -0.01)41% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)77.55% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 54.8%
    Millonarios 20.51%
    Draw 24.68%
America MineiroDrawMillonarios
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 54.8%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 20.51%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Millonarios

America Mineiro
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Millonarios
40.0%
5
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 1am
rhs 2.0
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