MX23RW : Friday, June 9 04:42:55| >> :60:239:239:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 11pm UK
 
Metropolitanos
0 - 1
Medellin

Luis Moreno (29'), Valderrey (43')
Luis Moreno (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Batalla (46')
Ricaurte (31'), Alvarado (42'), Moreno (59')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Metropolitanos and Independiente Medellin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Metropolitanos 1-2 Internacional
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Medellin 2-1 Nacional
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Metropolitanos 0-2 Independiente Medellin

While Independiente Medellin have struggled for results in recent weeks, they will be backing themselves to see off an inexperienced Metropolitanos side who have lost all four games so far. We predict that the visitors will pick up a third consecutive group win and edge closer to the knockout stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente Medellin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Independiente Medellin.

Result
MetropolitanosDrawIndependiente Medellin
34.53% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 27.95% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 37.52% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86% (0.307 0.31)58.14% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.2% (0.242 0.24)78.8% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (0.146 0.15)31.76% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (0.17 0.17)68.18% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.212 0.21)29.87% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.257 0.26)65.96% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Metropolitanos 34.53%
    Independiente Medellin 37.52%
    Draw 27.95%
MetropolitanosDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 11.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Metropolitanos vs Medellin

Metropolitanos
29.4%
Draw
5.9%
Independiente Medellin
64.7%
17
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Medellin
4-2
Metropolitanos
Gruezo (1' og.)
Marchan (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
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3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
RLeicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
RLeeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725

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