After their positive start to the season under Coudet, we are yet to see how this Atletico Mineiro side will react to the change in management and take to life under Luiz Felipe Scolari, but with strong foundations in place and plenty of quality throughout their squad, we fancy them to come out on top away from home in Thursday's important contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
0.66) 
-0.51) 
