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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Charlotte FC |
57.22% (![]() | 23.48% (![]() | 19.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.39% (![]() | 50.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.48% (![]() | 72.52% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% (![]() | 17.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.06% (![]() | 47.94% (![]() |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.52% (![]() | 40.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.91% (![]() | 77.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Charlotte FC |
1-0 @ 12.33% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.21% | 1-1 @ 11.15% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 43 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 35 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
7 | Orlando City | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 27 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 25 |
9 | DC United | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 23 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 23 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 20 |
14 | Toronto | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 32 |
2 | St Louis City | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 28 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 27 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 27 |
6 | Dallas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
7 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 22 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 21 |
12 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 14 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |