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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
63.46% (![]() | 21.32% (![]() | 15.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.69% (![]() | 48.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.55% (![]() | 70.45% (![]() |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.43% (![]() | 14.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.36% (![]() | 42.64% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.84% (![]() | 44.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.74% (![]() | 80.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
1-0 @ 12.39% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.93% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 10.13% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.32% | 0-1 @ 5.26% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 1.45% Total : 15.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 43 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 35 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
7 | Orlando City | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 27 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 25 |
9 | DC United | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 23 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 23 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 20 |
14 | Toronto | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 32 |
2 | St Louis City | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 28 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 27 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 27 |
6 | Dallas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
7 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 22 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 21 |
12 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 14 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |