Morrow (37')
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
| 42.54% | 27.39% | 30.06% |
| Both teams to score 48.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% | 57.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% | 77.93% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% | 26.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.29% | 61.71% |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% | 34.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.98% | 71.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.53% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.26% Total : 30.06% |
