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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
57.58% | 22.74% | 19.68% |
Both teams to score 52.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.92% | 47.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% | 69.33% |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% | 16.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.52% | 45.48% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.98% | 38.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.21% | 74.8% |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
6 | DC United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
14 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
15 | Toronto | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
2 | St Louis City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
4 | Dallas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |