Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
38.67% (![]() | 26.7% (![]() | 34.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% (![]() | 53.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% (![]() | 74.8% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% (![]() | 26.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% (![]() | 62.15% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% (![]() | 29.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.79% (![]() | 65.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 10.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 12.69% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |