

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 39.12% (  -0.32) | 26.75% (  -0.32) | 34.12% (  0.64) | 
| Both teams to score 51.5% (  1.12) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.46% (  1.36) | 53.54% (  -1.36) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.95% (  1.14) | 75.05% (  -1.14) | 
| Estoril Praia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.27% (  0.46) | 26.73% (  -0.46) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38% (  0.6) | 62% (  -0.6) | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.29% (  1.1) | 29.71% (  -1.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.23% (  1.31) | 65.77% (  -1.31) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 1-0 @ 10.47% (  -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.39% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 6.91% (  -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.69% (  0.06) 3-0 @ 3.04% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% (  0.1) 4-1 @ 1.22% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 1% (  -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.12% | 1-1 @ 12.71% (  -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.94% (  -0.43) 2-2 @ 5.09% (  0.17) 3-3 @ 0.91% (  0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.64% (  -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.72% (  0.16) 0-2 @ 5.85% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 3.12% (  0.15) 0-3 @ 2.37% (  0.09) 2-3 @ 2.06% (  0.13) 1-4 @ 0.95% (  0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.12% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 
| 3 | Porto | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 
| 4 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 
| 8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 | 
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 13 | ChavesChaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 | 
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 4 | 
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