Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Plymouth1 - 3Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Swansea City
Plymouth have been very inconsistent over the past few weeks but generally put on a good show for their home faithful in Devon, and we are expecting the same on Saturday. Swansea are beginning to find their stride after a worrying start, and we believe Duff's side will be good enough for a point this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Swansea City |
30.73% ( 0.09) | 23.25% ( 0.06) | 46.01% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.2% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
