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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
QPR logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 3
QPR

Mills (62')
Mills (64'), Brannagan (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Edwards (7'), Romeny (42' og.), Yang (90+1')
Andersen (85'), Nardi (89'), Colback (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-0 Queens Park Rangers

After earning three points off Premier League-chasing Sheffield United on the weekend, Oxford United will be confident of repeating the trick this time around. The U's are excellent on their own patch and the R's struggle on the road, so we are envisaging a home success at the Kassam on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
37.25% (0.607 0.61) 27.9% (0.114 0.11) 34.85% (-0.72900000000001 -0.73)
Both teams to score 48.05% (-0.401 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (-0.477 -0.48)57.92% (0.468 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (-0.378 -0.38)78.63% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.13199999999999 0.13)29.93% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (0.165 0.16)66.03% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (-0.709 -0.71)31.43% (0.7 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19% (-0.824 -0.82)67.81% (0.816 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 37.24%
    Queens Park Rangers 34.84%
    Draw 27.9%
Oxford UnitedDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.24%
1-1 @ 13.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 10.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs QPR

Oxford United
70.8%
Draw
17.7%
Queens Park Rangers
11.5%
96
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
QPR
2-0
Oxford Utd
Field (53', 68')
Fox (90+1'), Lloyd (90+3')

Brannagan (13'), Moore (27')
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
5-0
QPR
Brannagan (34'), Harris (59'), Browne (66'), Mills (72'), Thorniley (82')

Kakay (38')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
2-0
Oxford Utd
Dickie (26'), Chambers-Parillon (40' og.)
Chair (66')

Sykes (59'), Johnson (76')
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
1-2
QPR
Rodriguez (39')
Amos (31', 33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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