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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Cardiff City logo

QPR
0 - 0
Cardiff


Morrison (30')
FT

Colwill (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Cardiff City

Both sides would love to be able to claim all three points this weekend in what should be an intriguing clash near the bottom of the Championship. However, with the stakes so high, we can see this being a cagey match that ends in a draw, which will not really suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 28.35% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.9%).

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
46.57% (0.377 0.38) 25.08% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 28.35% (-0.445 -0.45)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-0.54 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (-0.565 -0.56)48.71% (0.568 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.18% (-0.518 -0.52)70.82% (0.52 0.52)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)20.94% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.107 -0.11)53.68% (0.11 0.11)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.61999999999999 -0.62)31.24% (0.624 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.728 -0.73)67.59% (0.732 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.57%
    Cardiff City 28.35%
    Draw 25.08%
Queens Park RangersDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.35%

How you voted: QPR vs Cardiff

Queens Park Rangers
64.4%
Draw
17.8%
Cardiff City
17.8%
45
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Cardiff
0-2
QPR
Celar (40', 90+1')
Dunne (86')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
QPR
1-2
Cardiff
Smyth (52')
Fox (85'), Dykes (90+2')
Goutas (16'), Ng (74')
McGuinness (58'), Bulut (59'), Collins (63'), Ng (89'), Adams (90+1'), Panzo (90+6')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff
1-2
QPR
Ugbo (78')
Adams (25'), Bowler (83')
Armstrong (34'), Paal (65')
Armstrong (27'), Adomah (90')
Dec 26, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
0-0
QPR
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
QPR
3-0
Cardiff
Dykes (19' pen., 33'), Paal (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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