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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Leeds logo

QPR
2 - 2
Leeds

Saito (17'), Cook (30')
Dunne (21'), Paal (60'), Frey (82')
Saito (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fox (40' og.), Bogle (51')
Struijk (72'), Bogle (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Leeds United

Leeds' away record in London leaves little to be desired and QPR have enjoyed hosting the Whites in recent years, but Farke's men will still be regarded as favourites to come out on top and should ultimately find a way to pick up three valuable points against the out-of-form hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
19.82% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 22.63% (-0.219 -0.22) 57.55% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.614 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59% (0.86300000000001 0.86)46.41% (-0.865 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31% (0.806 0.81)68.69% (-0.80800000000001 -0.81)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (0.439 0.44)37.49% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (0.429 0.43)74.27% (-0.43199999999999 -0.43)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (0.39100000000001 0.39)15.86% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (0.72 0.72)45.06% (-0.723 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 19.82%
    Leeds United 57.55%
    Draw 22.63%
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-1 @ 5.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 19.82%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.63%
0-1 @ 10.94% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-2 @ 10.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.19% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.082 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.85% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.8% (0.081 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.056 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.032 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 57.55%

How you voted: QPR vs Leeds

Queens Park Rangers
16.9%
Draw
13.6%
Leeds United
69.5%
59
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Bogle (19'), Piroe (90+5')
Byram (13')

Varane (47'), Morgan (54')
Apr 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 45
QPR
4-0
Leeds
Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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