Blackburn logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Coventry City
Derby logo
Derby logo
Hull logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
West Brom logo
QPR logo
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Leeds logo

QPR
2 - 2
Leeds

Saito (17'), Cook (30')
Dunne (21'), Paal (60'), Frey (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fox (40' og.), Bogle (51')
Struijk (72'), Bogle (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
19.82% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)22.63% (-0.219 -0.22)57.55% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.614 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59% (0.86300000000001 0.86)46.41% (-0.865 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31% (0.806 0.81)68.69% (-0.80800000000001 -0.81)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (0.439 0.44)37.49% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (0.429 0.43)74.27% (-0.43199999999999 -0.43)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (0.39100000000001 0.39)15.86% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (0.72 0.72)45.06% (-0.723 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 19.82%
    Leeds United 57.55%
    Draw 22.63%
Queens Park RangersDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-1 @ 5.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 19.82%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.63%
0-1 @ 10.94% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-2 @ 10.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.19% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.082 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.85% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.8% (0.081 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.056 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.032 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 57.55%

How you voted: QPR vs Leeds

Queens Park Rangers
16.9%
Draw
13.6%
Leeds United
69.5%
59
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR
Bogle (19'), Piroe (90+5')
Byram (13')

Varane (47'), Morgan (54')
Apr 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 45
QPR
4-0
Leeds
Chair (8'), Andersen (22'), Dykes (73'), Field (86')
Colback (64')

Byram (16'), Gnonto (41')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Leeds
1-0
QPR

Field (26'), Ainsworth (27'), Kakay (69')
Begovic (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
1-0
Leeds
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
2-0
QPR