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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Sunderland

Leeds
2 - 1
Sunderland

Struijk (78', 90+5')
Tanaka (31'), Bogle (45+1'), Firpo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Isidor (32')
Isidor (45+3'), Bellingham (56'), Hume (61'), Cirkin (80'), Patterson (83'), O'Nien (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-4 Leeds
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSunderland
66.63% (-0.425 -0.42)19.89% (0.246 0.25)13.48% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (-0.684 -0.68)45.77% (0.678 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (-0.653 -0.65)68.09% (0.646 0.65)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)12.82% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83% (-0.675 -0.68)39.16% (0.66699999999999 0.67)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.88% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)45.11% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.97% (-0.129 -0.13)81.02% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.62%
    Sunderland 13.48%
    Draw 19.89%
Leeds UnitedDrawSunderland
2-0 @ 12.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 8.35% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 66.62%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.115 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.165 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.89%
0-1 @ 4.61% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 13.48%

How you voted: Leeds vs Sunderland

Leeds United
72.5%
Draw
14.5%
Sunderland
13.0%
193
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
2-2
Leeds
Rigg (9'), Firpo (90+7' og.)
Bellingham (46'), Neill (61'), Rigg (65')
Piroe (22'), Firpo (56')
Rodon (39'), Firpo (68'), Bogle (90+6')
Apr 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
0-0
Sunderland
Kamara (70'), Firpo (70')
Ballard (21'), O'Nien (46'), Rigg (57'), Bellingham (62')
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Sunderland
1-0
Leeds
Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')