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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Norwich

Solomon (1'), James (65')
Tanaka (8'), Byram (13'), Rothwell (71'), Piroe (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fisher (4'), Dobbin (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, January 19 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Norwich City

Unbeaten at Elland Road since September, Leeds should be supremely confident of recording another Yorkshire triumph in front of their home faithful on Wednesday. The arrivals of Sargent and new signing Jurasek onto the pitch could provide a real boost to Norwich's chances of a result, although we feel that the hosts will be too strong. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 10.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
71.78% (-0.797 -0.8) 17.57% (0.537 0.54) 10.65% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 46.61% (-0.921 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-1.729 -1.73)42.61% (1.73 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-1.743 -1.74)65.01% (1.745 1.75)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.47% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)10.53% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.77% (-1.498 -1.5)34.22% (1.5 1.5)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.09% (-0.641 -0.64)47.91% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.84% (-0.474 -0.47)83.16% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 71.77%
    Norwich City 10.65%
    Draw 17.57%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.27 0.27)
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 9.59% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.4% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.158 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 71.77%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.259 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.378 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.215 0.22)
1-2 @ 3.08% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 10.65%

How you voted: Leeds vs Norwich

Leeds United
89.4%
Draw
5.3%
Norwich City
5.3%
94
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
1-1
Leeds
Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')
May 16, 2024 8pm
Leeds
4-0
Norwich
Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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