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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Leeds logo

Hull City
3 - 3
Leeds

Kamara (5', 89'), Pedro (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tanaka (46'), James (62'), Piroe (72')
Rodon (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawLeeds United
18.16% (1.788 1.79)22.35% (0.776 0.78)59.49% (-2.565 -2.57)
Both teams to score 50.61% (1.114 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (-0.346 -0.35)47.62% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.32 -0.32)69.82% (0.318 0.32)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (1.972 1.97)40.02% (-1.973 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (1.759 1.76)76.67% (-1.76 -1.76)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (-0.94799999999999 -0.95)15.63% (0.947 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (-1.787 -1.79)44.63% (1.787 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 18.16%
    Leeds United 59.47%
    Draw 22.35%
Hull CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.73% (0.378 0.38)
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.415 0.42)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.302 0.3)
3-1 @ 1.49% (0.198 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.16%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 11.6% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-2 @ 10.77% (-0.57 -0.57)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.67% (-0.592 -0.59)
1-3 @ 6.11% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-4 @ 2.83% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.063 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.15% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 59.47%

How you voted: Hull City vs Leeds

Hull City
14.8%
Draw
3.3%
Leeds United
82.0%
61
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Leeds
2-0
Hull City
Fernandez (63'), Piroe (81')
Rodon (29'), Gruev (79')

Millar (57')
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
3-1
Hull City
Byram (9'), Summerville (88' pen.), James (90+7')
Firpo (27'), Summerville (89')
Carvalho (34')
Tufan (54'), Michael Seri (70')
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hull City
0-0
Leeds
Rosenior (0'), Twine (54'), Connolly (69'), Philogene-Bidace (80')
Rodon (43'), Ampadu (52'), Ayling (90+1'), Ayling (90')
Rodon (60')
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
1-1
Hull City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Hull City win 9-8 on penalties)
Alioski (90+3')
Alioski (45+1')
Wilks (5')
Scott (90+2')
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Hull City
0-4
Leeds